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May I be the first to say that I think Jato and Dan Nixon have enough proper English dialect to write a textbook. Every time I read their posts I feel like I am studying up for a political debate! But it's fun to follow their posts and my compliments to their well researched and thought out points, though I may not agree with them all. Kudos to you, and  to whoever was calling Kerry and Bush dumbasses and whatnot.. complete ignorance. I hope he was joking.
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Originally posted by Dan Nixon: The Jordanian Al-Zarkowi that either beheaded or lead the murderers of that unfortunate young man has for years run a terrorist TRAINING camp in North Iraq with full knowlege of Iraq intelligence.
This was alleged in Colin Powell's Feb '03 address to the United Nations. I don't remember any assertions about Al-Zarkowi running these camps though.
But if the camp Powell showed in the satellite photo was for terrorst training Sadam could have done nothing about it. As you say it was in the Northern portion of Iraq where the Kurds were being protected by our forces since the first Iraq war. Sadam did not control the area. And more importantly, if the administration really thought it was for terrorist training why was the camp not flattened immediately by Tomahawk missiles. This was only one of Powell's claims later to be proven false. Two others were the mobile chemical weapons trailers and the drones to be used for spraying them.
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You are right on the training camp one in that Hussein couldn't do anything about it and this supposedly linking Hussein to Al-Qaeda was extraordinarily shaky, but there are a number of people calling BS on claims that the trailers didn't hold toxins at one point in time.
The Iraqi's "bleached" the Hell out of them by the time the US had a chance to make a grab at them. Wonder why they would do that?
Testing done on the trailers came back inconclusive as they were scrubbed down so well. Also, why were there fermentation units on the trailers that were found? Hydrogen production (these trailers were supposedly used to fill hydrogen artillery baloons) has next to NOTHING to do with fermentation...
There were initially labeled as pesticide units for crops; convienenly that same equipment can serve as a dual-purpose toxin "shop".
I'll take the known testimony of a number of Iraqi defectors/informants claiming the "dual-use" scenario that WITNESSED how things were being used, thank you very much.
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You might want to read this. "Powell said the "most dramatic'' of his allegations -- that Saddam Hussein's regime had mobile germ labs -- was based on questionable U.S. intelligence" "Now it appears not to be the case that it was solid,'' he said. http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2004/04/03/MNGJO609KQ1.DTL
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I've read what the mainstream media has to say about this ad naseum. Notice he says "not solid". He doesn't say it was "false" information on the germ in ANY publication. Not solid means unsure, in that it fits the dual-purpose use category to a T.
If you remember, these trailers were being propped up as smoking guns on WMD activity in Iraq early on in the war. When they turned up "bleached" and cleaned of any contaminants, it all became circumstantial at that point.
You could haul hydrogen tanks to fill artillery ballons up on the back of a pickup truck or a small 2-wheeled trailer; you damn-sure don't need a trailer as large as the one they were using. You also don't need fermentation and lab equipment in these trailers, either.
Why was fermentation equipment on board, then? Don't ignore the question; answer it. Why were centerfuges found on some of these trailers as well? You don't need to spin hydrogen at any rate to use it...
The FACT is that everything had been scrubbed rather well and that no agents of any kind could be found. I seem to recall that apart from cleaning agents, baking soda and piss were pretty much the only two substances that could be determined from one of the examinations...
Why would someone go to the trouble of cleaning a hydrogen-hauling trailer if it didn't also act as a carrier for something else?
It still doesn't change the fact that a number of defectors/informers from different areas in Iraq had seperately described those type of trailers as being used as toxin labs.
We still don't have a smokin gun on them as no agents ever cropped up out of the one's we got our hands on.
Again, I'll trust Iraqi defectors/informers over someone selling press any day of the year. I'll aslo trust in the opinions of those who have been in Iraq and have done intel work for a living...
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Originally posted by JaTo: I've read what the mainstream media has to say about this ad naseum. Notice he says "not solid". He doesn't say it was "false" information on the germ in ANY publication. Not solid means unsure, in that it fits the dual-purpose use category to a T.
Wow that's a stretch! Don't you know that in "politician-speak", "not solid" means totally off base.
Originally posted by JaTo: When they turned up "bleached" and cleaned of any contaminants, it all became circumstantial at that point.
I was not aware of this, please show some evidence.
Originally posted by JaTo: Why was fermentation equipment on board, then? Don't ignore the question; answer it. Why were centerfuges found on some of these trailers as well? You don't need to spin hydrogen at any rate to use it...
Since when have I ignored a question? Yes mam, I'll answer it when you can show me evidence from a reputable source.
Originally posted by JaTo: Again, I'll trust Iraqi defectors/informers over someone selling press any day of the year. I'll aslo trust in the opinions of those who have been in Iraq and have done intel work for a living...
Like David Kay? Or the Secretary of State? I trust Colin Powell when he says he is wrong. As for the Iraqi defectors, you must not read much if you think they were giving us truthful information. We are now finding out they lied to make a better case for us overthrowing Sadam. Chalabi(sp) the head of this group thought he would be appointed president of the new Iraq, but we now know that the Iraqi people will not accept these people that fled Iraq during the Sadam years to be their leaders.
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Here's some reading on those defectors to bring you up to date. They call themselves the Iraqi National Congress. In the future maybe you should gather information before you make your case. It can be embarassing if you don't. "key intelligence on weapons of mass destruction provided by Chalabiā??s group was false, perhaps even fabricated." http://msnbc.msn.com/id/4855109/"The [INC's] intelligence isn't reliable at all," said Vincent Cannistraro, a former senior CIA official and counterterrorism expert. "Much of it is propaganda. Much of it is telling the Defense Department what they want to hear. And much of it is used to support Chalabi's own presidential ambitions. They make no distinction between intelligence and propaganda, using alleged informants and defectors who say what Chalabi wants them to say, [creating] cooked information that goes right into presidential and vice-presidential speeches." http://www.disinfopedia.org/wiki.phtml?title=Iraqi_National_Congress
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Originally posted by spgoode:
Wow that's a stretch! Don't you know that in "politician-speak", "not solid" means totally off base.
No, not solid in "politican-speak" means PRECISELY that: not solid, circumstantial. It's close to "judicial-speak" in that not solid evidence has let a number of criminals walk in the past...
Originally posted by spgoode:
I was not aware of this, please show some evidence.
For some odd reason, it didn't get a lot of press:
http://www.sptimes.com/2003/05/07/Worldandnation/Bush_appoints_civilia.shtml
http://www.detnews.com/2003/nation/0305/07/a05-157990.htm
"The truck and the equipment inside it had been cleaned with bleach and did not show any identifiable residue of biological agents."
Those were the first two that came up for me; I'll be more than happy to dig up some more. I couldn't find the WSJ or NYT piece on this that I know I read...
Originally posted by spgoode: Since when have I ignored a question? Yes mam, I'll answer it when you can show me evidence from a reputable source.
Taken from the Wall Street Journal around a year ago:
http://www.ph.ucla.edu/epi/bioter/iraqitrailers.html
or are they not a reputable enough source of information?
Jane's had more stuff on this, though it takes a subscription to get to their knowledge repository. I really wish I could give you more than just this mainstream crap, though. Let's just say there was a lot of bickering in the US intelligence community over the uses of these; one camp didn't have a clue and would draw NO conclusions, while another was firmly convinced that they were dual-purpose weapons labs...
Originally posted by spgoode:
Like David Kay? Or the Secretary of State? I trust Colin Powell when he says he is wrong.
And you claim I'm reading too much into what he said?
He didn't say he was wrong; neither did Kay. He said that due to the lack of evidence, their position that these DEFINITELY were weapons labs could NOT firmly be stated, even though they could serve as little else, given some of the equipment found in them.
The fact is that the US can't claim 100% proof-positive of WMD without them physically in our hands or scientifically-proved evidence of them being created (i.e., residue).
I remember Kay stating that the lack of any residue in these trailers wouldn't permit him to certify them as FACTUAL "WMD wagons" as his mission was to find proof of them, not circumstantial evidence.
Originally posted by spgoode: As for the Iraqi defectors, you must not read much if you think they were giving us truthful information. We are now finding out they lied to make a better case for us overthrowing Sadam. Chalabi(sp) the head of this group thought he would be appointed president of the new Iraq, but we now know that the Iraqi people will not accept these people that fled Iraq during the Sadam years to be their leaders.
Of course some lied and exaggurated to get the US to pull the trigger quicker but having a number of informants give very similar accounts during seperate times of these labs couldn't have been coordinated, since they didn't even KNOW each other. I've heard of little that pushed the supposition that Iraqi's lied about the "weapons wagons".
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The prisoner treatment frenzy is barely getting started, as the war college professors/military ethicists are just starting to weigh in and a mountain of facts have yet to be aired.
We still have the sovreignty change in a month and a half.
There's still time for things to get better for Bush. But that means there's still lots of time for things to get worse. (How many more PR disasters can Bush's re-election chances afford?)
And the mud-slinging by both parties will get even more ugly as November approaches.
Whoever wins will face a huge job in dealing with the political rifts and idealogical polarization now in place and getting wider among our citizens.
Arguing over everything on this board non-stop for the next 5 months likely does no one any good. How about we allow the events of the next several months to happen, and we let those events speak for themselves?
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Originally posted by spgoode: Here's some reading on those defectors to bring you up to date. They call themselves the Iraqi National Congress. In the future maybe you should gather information before you make your case. It can be embarassing if you don't.
"key intelligence on weapons of mass destruction provided by Chalabiā??s group was false, perhaps even fabricated."
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/4855109/
"The [INC's] intelligence isn't reliable at all," said Vincent Cannistraro, a former senior CIA official and counterterrorism expert. "Much of it is propaganda. Much of it is telling the Defense Department what they want to hear. And much of it is used to support Chalabi's own presidential ambitions. They make no distinction between intelligence and propaganda, using alleged informants and defectors who say what Chalabi wants them to say, [creating] cooked information that goes right into presidential and vice-presidential speeches."
http://www.disinfopedia.org/wiki.phtml?title=Iraqi_National_Congress
You certainly are good at making naieve ASSumptions, I'll give you that. I'm not talking about INC, I'm talking about a number of other Iraqi's that came forward early on and other sources that the CIA didn't go through the INC to get. Some information was even gleaned through Kurdish contacts. The most important of these contacts that the US gained was Hussein Kamal:
http://usatoday.printthis.clickability.com/pt/cpt?action=cpt&expire=&urlID=4894507&fb=Y&partnerID=1660
More on Kamal (God do I hate using the Washington Post as support):
http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A23545-2002Jul30?language=printer
"Iraq's known bioweapons labs were so carefully hidden that U.N. officials failed to discover them until 1995 -- four years after the start of inspections. Only after the defection of the program's chief, Saddam Hussein's son-in-law, Hussein Kamal, did inspectors find secret laboratories that were producing lethal bacteria by the ton.
Iraq eventually acknowledged making three types of biological weapons using anthrax bacteria and two kinds of biological toxins: botulinum toxin and aflatoxin. But Iraq is also known to have conducted extensive research on at least three other pathogens that attack humans or crops, and it dabbled with a half-dozen others, U.N. inspection reports show.
In its final three years in Iraq, the U.N. Special Commission, or UNSCOM, destroyed all of Iraq's known biological munitions, and much of the equipment needed to make new ones. But the inspectors didn't get it all.
"UNSCOM didn't destroy everything," said Richard Spertzel, a retired biological warfare expert who oversaw the dismantling of Iraq's bioweapons program. "Iraq still has enough equipment, material, people and know-how to make biological weapons."
Spertzel said he observed industrial fermenters, spray dryers and other equipment that could be used to mass-produce viruses and bacteria -- equipment that UNSCOM could not legally destroy because it had no proof the machines were being used to make weapons. He concludes that Iraq can now produce biological weapons without help from abroad, which it could not have done a decade ago."
But of course, all this gets forgotten and minimalized...
JaTo
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