Okay, started it earlier, again started wonderfully, let it run 2 minutes, shut it off, and then cranked it -- no fire as usual.
So I popped the hood and tried pulling fuses 4 and 11 as suggested

Waited a moment, popped 11 back in and swapped 4 (had one sitting in the box woohoo!), and tried again..
after about 3 cranks the car did something I hadn't heard in a while -- the crank starts going faster and then back to normal, at that point if I push the gas some the car will fire up.
Could that be a loose timing belt? Damn I need to pull that cover..