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Really? Then why did the CIA state this in their public report of 2002: "Iraq's efforts to procure tens of thousands of proscribed high-strength aluminum tubes are of significant concern. All intelligence experts agree that Iraq is seeking nuclear weapons and that these tubes could be used in a centrifuge enrichment program. Most intelligence specialists assess this to be the intended use, but some believe that these tubes are probably intended for conventional weapons programs."Source: http://www.cia.gov/cia/reports/iraq_wmd/Iraq_Oct_2002.htm#04
JaTo
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JaTo, all those nifty quotes from Democrats prove just one thing: they were doing their best to demonstrate our resolve to contain Saddam. They show that Clinton administration officials and leading Democrats were fully aware of the potential danger posed by Saddam, and were not going to drop their guard even for a moment. They show that, in concert with other UN countries, the Democrats were positioning us well to make Saddam back down.
You seem to be trying to use those quotes for a very different purpose. You seem to be saying those quotes show that the Clinton-era Democrats were just as hawkish as the Bush-era neo-cons. That is a completely unwarranted assumption.
Just look at how different the context was when those quotes were made (mostly the 1990s). Those quotes were made in the context of a worldwide cooperative effort to force Saddam into compliance. The entire UN was threatening war against Saddam then, to force him back in his box. Those Democrats were speaking on behalf of almost every civilized person in the world when they threatened military action. By contrast, Bush's threats were not in cooperation with any sort of worldwide effort to force Saddam to back down. Quite the opposite. Bush's threats were just token warning of a long-planned, unprecedented, nearly unilateral, pre-emptive attack on a nation that had no significant ability to attack us.
Why do you pretend not to see the distinction between those Clinton-era Democrats' wise cooperation with virtually the entire UN, and Bush's reckless decision to blow off the UN and most of our allies and go to war almost entirely alone?
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and the 9/11 committee concluded unanimously that most of the major findings on that report were wrong, unfounded, or overblown. this was especially true of the nuclear section. how could they have been so wrong when the 9/11 committee had access to the same intelligence the cia had? or was it they just downplayed the "some believe that these tubes are probably intended for conventional weapons programs" part on purpose so it could be a slam dunk...  at the very least the bush admin wasn't up front with the disenting views about their "evidence" and support for the war in iraq. don't get me wrong, they had a list of other reasons to invade. but the fact that they either mistakenly or knowingly mis-stated their main reasoning in several instances to gain support pretty much borders on the line of deceit to me. i don't need to be deceived or mislead into believing what's good for our country or the war on terrorism. lay it all out on the table --good and bad-- and let's see where we stand. for whatever reason, i don't feel the bush admin allowed that to happen and i regret we didn't wait longer to go in. had we gone in as part of a UN coalition our troop commitment would probably be around a 1/3 of what it currently is.
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JaTo: further to your many quotes which you undoubtedly attribute correctly.
Assuming that the assertions made about Iraqi WMD by the various authors of your quotes are all true (many are debatable, I think) then the undisputed outcome of the military exercise in Iraq IMO must be considered a massive failure - either with respect to the intelligence upon which the original decision to launch was made, or with respect to the actual execution of the invasion plan.
Because if the object of the invasion was in fact to render the Iraqi WMD harmless, the fact that to date none have been found and are now likely in someone else's possession, is the exact opposite of the desired outcome - and by definition the military exercise is a failure.
IMO, the true purpose of the invasion was, to quote John Kerry here (ironically) " ... to disarm Saddam Hussein" - which is distincyly different than rendering his WMD harmless.
IMO "disarming Saddam Hussein" is nothing more than a thinly veiled euphemism for "regime change" and therefore the principle of imminent danger as rationale for invading a sovereign country, did not apply.
The subsequent disclosures about the content and "value" of the intelligence accumulated prior to the invasion; and the undisputed facts about what has subsequently been discovered about Iraqi WMD IMO fully support this position.
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Originally posted by Red1998SVT: JaTo, all those nifty quotes from Democrats prove just one thing: they were doing their best to demonstrate our resolve to contain Saddam.
Most, even in the light of their full verses take on a MUCH stronger note than just simple containment...
Originally posted by Red1998SVT: They show that Clinton administration officials and leading Democrats were fully aware of the potential danger posed by Saddam, and were not going to drop their guard even for a moment. They show that, in concert with other UN countries, the Democrats were positioning us well to make Saddam back down.
BS. Gutting the CIA's budget and killing Middle-Eastern HumInt showed that Clinton flat-out didn't get what we were facing with Saddam. Hussein bilked billions out of the UN, all the while illegal equipment made it's way into Iraq.
Back down? This is perhaps the most laughable and absurd doctrine I've witnessed in this thread so far.
Originally posted by Red1998SVT: You seem to be trying to use those quotes for a very different purpose. You seem to be saying those quotes show that the Clinton-era Democrats were just as hawkish as the Bush-era neo-cons. That is a completely unwarranted assumption.
I'm simply putting them forth to cure the memory loss that seems to occur during this partisan circle-jerk of "Blame Bush". The selective memory that a number of you show is simply putrid. Our intel on Hussein didn't change an extraordinary amount from the last years of the Clinton administration to the Bush administration. What did change was our patience, due to our concerns of 9/11. The fact that you insist on curtaining this event off and refuse to even address valid and rampant concerns that existed across party lines and around the world is beyond reckless, especially since it serves as one of your core crutches on this topic.
Originally posted by Red1998SVT: Just look at how different the context was when those quotes were made (mostly the 1990s). Those quotes were made in the context of a worldwide cooperative effort to force Saddam into compliance. The entire UN was threatening war against Saddam then, to force him back in his box. Those Democrats were speaking on behalf of almost every civilized person in the world when they threatened military action.
BS, again and again. Hit the UN's website and read up on the resolutions that were put in front of Hussein until 2000.
None, up until UN 1441, plainly stated strong and unencumbered language that could be "taken to task".
Originally posted by Red1998SVT: By contrast, Bush's threats were not in cooperation with any sort of worldwide effort to force Saddam to back down. Quite the opposite. Bush's threats were just token warning of a long-planned, unprecedented, nearly unilateral, pre-emptive attack on a nation that had no significant ability to attack us.
1)With France, Germany and Russia backing out for purely financial and political reasons at the 11th hour, and in light of our security concerns after 9/11, invasion was the only viable choice. UN inspections had all the hallmarks of an ongoing failure. You act as if, given the intel, it would have been a WISE choice to give the Iraqi regime the benefit of the doubt. Knowing what we know today, I would have definitely done this, but only knowing what we knew then:
NO WAY IN HELL.
2) "Long Planned"? Yes, in that the Pentagon under the Clinton administration built a number of attack scenarios that were lifted and expounded upon when the UN met with failure after failure in their weapons inspection process.
3) "Significant Ability"? Who in their right mind ever mentioned any concern about Iraq's conventional might after we charbroiled the bulk of their military machine in '91? Our rampant concern and fear revolved ENTIRELY around chem/biochem ability and nuclear aspirations,
Originally posted by Red1998SVT: Why do you pretend not to see the distinction between those Clinton-era Democrats' wise cooperation with virtually the entire UN, and Bush's reckless decision to blow off the UN and most of our allies and go to war almost entirely alone?
Why can you NOT see that Chirac has been an ALLY of Hussein since the '70s? Why do you refuse to even address any of the financial ties and government loans that Germany and France propped Iraq up with? Why do you refuse to even touch evidence that Iraq had all but bought out the Security Council vote with France?
What I'm hearing is that as long as we are sucking up to France (Chirac) and Germany (Schroeder now or Kohl at the time), then it's labeled as "cooperation". When we intend to take proactive measures due to massive security concerns and where we failed to act on what was starting to take shape as actionable intel just months earlier (i.e., 9/11), and we STRONGLY wished not to have any sort of repeat, you call it a "reckless decision". This is still despite evidence that the current Democratic candidate considered more than adequate for invasion.
The parallels I can draw between this line of thought and what Neville Chamberlain pulled in the '30s are endless.
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Originally posted by BP: and the 9/11 committee concluded unanimously that most of the major findings on that report were wrong, unfounded, or overblown. this was especially true of the nuclear section.
Please point this out, as I'm closing in on the end of the 9/11 commission book and have yet to run across much other than claiming that the Al-Qaeda link with Iraq was overstated, in addition to his active nuclear capability and development program.
Everything else to this day still has some serious question marks surrounding it.
Originally posted by BP: how could they have been so wrong when the 9/11 committee had access to the same intelligence the cia had?
They didn't. This still remains one of the main gripes of the 9/11 commission, in that there still exists periods of time and evidence that neither the CIA or the FBI has released, due to ongoing operations. Care to try that line of BS again and correct it?
Originally posted by BP: or was it they just downplayed the "some believe that these tubes are probably intended for conventional weapons programs" part on purpose so it could be a slam dunk... 
Again, if, in 2001-2002, you would throw a decade of Iraq dodging UN inspectors, Hussein's history and US security concerns over tons of missing neurotoxins over a confused report on aluminum tubes and exaggurated Al-Qaeda links, you are certifiable.
The "slam dunk" was placed on information that had existed LONG before the aluminum tube caper...
Originally posted by BP: at the very least the bush admin wasn't up front with the disenting views about their "evidence" and support for the war in iraq. don't get me wrong, they had a list of other reasons to invade. but the fact that they either mistakenly or knowingly mis-stated their main reasoning in several instances to gain support pretty much borders on the line of deceit to me.
I will FULLY agree that the Bush administration "screwed the pooch" when it came to logically and cohesively flushing out our concerns over Iraq and why we had them. The ill-founded tangents weren't needed, as the case against Iraq had been a decade in the making and it stood on it's own, in light of 9/11.
Originally posted by BP: i don't need to be deceived or mislead into believing what's good for our country or the war on terrorism. lay it all out on the table --good and bad-- and let's see where we stand. for whatever reason, i don't feel the bush admin allowed that to happen and i regret we didn't wait longer to go in. had we gone in as part of a UN coalition our troop commitment would probably be around a 1/3 of what it currently is.
It never would have happened. Iraq bought France off and secured a vote on the Security Council that for all intents and purposes would have NEVER allowed for invasion.
Let me repeat it again; no matter what the concern, France would have never allowed for a fully-supported UN measure against Iraq; at least not with the current government running things.
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Originally posted by Mysti-ken: JaTo: further to your many quotes which you undoubtedly attribute correctly.
Assuming that the assertions made about Iraqi WMD by the various authors of your quotes are all true (many are debatable, I think) then the undisputed outcome of the military exercise in Iraq IMO must be considered a massive failure - either with respect to the intelligence upon which the original decision to launch was made, or with respect to the actual execution of the invasion plan.
Unprecedented military success, but a massive intelligence failure.
I won't call it endgame on WMD, as many European countries still stumble across sizeable caches of Zyklon-B and other munitions; all in areas that are MUCH more densely populated than Iraq and where a half-century of time has passed...
...though it would be foolish to insist upon readily-available and easily-deployed masses of WMD that Iraq had access to. This simply isn't reality and hasn't been since we first invaded in March of '03.
Again, an administration's decisions (more often than not) are only as good as the intelligence they have on hand. The quotes by the individuals HAVE to be taken in light of the time they were said. At that time and with what we knew, Iraq was the NEXT threat (after Afghanistan) that needed to be addressed.
Originally posted by Mysti-ken: Because if the object of the invasion was in fact to render the Iraqi WMD harmless, the fact that to date none have been found and are now likely in someone else's possession, is the exact opposite of the desired outcome - and by definition the military exercise is a failure.
True, but sample this: knowing ONLY what we knew up to February of '03, would the RESPONSIBLE position to take have been the one of doing nothing, given the rampant security concerns that we faced after 9/11?
If you accept that Iraq has been a military failure up to date (I dispute this to a degree, but for the sake of this particular point, I'll digress), then I would counter that you accept that UN weapons inspections were a failure, in that to this day there exists no complete tally of WMD in Iraq in February of '03 (or even today) and that the concerns of US security after 9/11 resting in the hands of a UN Security Council vote that was rife with politics and financial concern was an option that any US President could not have made in good faith, and in having the best interests of the US at heart.
Originally posted by Mysti-ken: IMO, the true purpose of the invasion was, to quote John Kerry here (ironically) " ... to disarm Saddam Hussein" - which is distincyly different than rendering his WMD harmless.
IMO "disarming Saddam Hussein" is nothing more than a thinly veiled euphemism for "regime change" and therefore the principle of imminent danger as rationale for invading a sovereign country, did not apply.
I would submit that you are grasping for straws here. While regime change was of interest and had been (from what I've read) for 3 administrations here in the US, the bulk of the concern with Iraq didn't necessarily lie in Hussein himself after 9/11; it was with the total blanks we still had on WMD volumes and that Iraq hadn't come anywhere NEAR clean (according to even the kindest of UN reports).
Again, up until 9/11, actual regime change was the "pipe dream" of analysts (or the nightmare, depending on how one viewed it taking place; Qusay Hussein would have been much worse and only an assassin's barrage of bullets kept him away from succession). I think most Democrats and Republicans that pushed for closure on Iraq after 9/11 had MUCH more concern over what Iraq had in it's possession, than who was leading the country.
Both were a concern, but which was the overriding concern?
Originally posted by Mysti-ken: The subsequent disclosures about the content and "value" of the intelligence accumulated prior to the invasion; and the undisputed facts about what has subsequently been discovered about Iraqi WMD IMO fully support this position.
I would strongly suggest reading up much more completely on Iraq before making such unfounded accusations. Again, regime change was something that WAS wanted and by 2 previous administrations; in light of 9/11, how can you position that this was the bulk of the cause behind our invasion of Iraq?
Should I frame this method of thought as Mysti-Kens Razor?:
In light of intelligence failues, the least likely and most absurd scenario is the most relevant.
I find your input interesting and thought-provoking, though this latest thesis needs to be tossed into the bog.
Nothing I've run across positions the removal of Hussein as being an overriding concern, especially after our rampant fears over what precisely Iraq felt they had to hide for a decade and WHY the felt they had to do so.
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Does anybody understand JaTo's last three posts?
JaTo's posts have often had a "I'm-in-a-big-f******-hurry" quality (he is proud of spending only 5 minutes per linear foot). But this time he's topped himself. These are his most cryptic and obtuse posts ever.
Congratulations, JaTo: I can't refute your point if I can't tell what it is.
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Originally posted by Red1998SVT: Does anybody understand JaTo's last three posts?
I do.
Originally posted by Red1998SVT: JaTo's posts have often had a "I'm-in-a-big-f******-hurry" quality (he is proud of spending only 5 minutes per linear foot).
Funny how JaTo can make you and the rest of the posers look like complete asses even when he's in a hurry. I wonder what you'd look like if he actually had the time to give you the full onslaught.
Originally posted by Red1998SVT: But this time he's topped himself. These are his most cryptic and obtuse posts ever.
I'm not surprised you consider the truth to be 'cryptic and obtuse'.
Last edited by Davo; 11/02/04 06:12 AM.
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