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#1596728 06/22/06 10:03 PM
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The 2003 Iraq Survey Group report by Charles Duelfur reported that no significant numbers of WMD were found. They did report that Sadam likely had retained the intent and means to reconstitute WMD after sanctions were lifted. They were, of course, actively bribing UN and foriegn officials to achieve that goal (with UN oil for food money)and most agree that sanctions were degrading more rapidly than the WMD just reported in a newly unclassified document. In my view, the WMD issue was always 2 fold..new WMD production since 1991, which has not materialized. But of signifiacnt importance was the documentation of destruction of pre 1991 WMD. Thousands of sarin filled shells and thousands of liters of anthrax were never accounted for (as required by UN resolutions and the terms of "surrender" in 1991. Sadam reported that all were destroyed. He lied..

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/Iraq_WMD_Declassified.pdf

Senior officials report more are being discovered and that many more likely exist. Recall that 3 Sarin filled rounds killed >5000 Kurds in a single village attack. I wonder what else Sadam lied about? There exist credible reports (from Isrielli intel, US satellites and a former Iraqi air force general) of air and ground truck conveys moving toward Syria in the pre war runup. There are millions of pages of captured Iraqi intel documents..some recently tranlated refering to Al Qaeda/Iraqi intel meetings. And millions of square miles of sand left unsearched...

I bring this up to point out that 3 years after the invasion, we still do not know the whole Sadam story. I have maintained that we know he was a mass murder (300,000+), a sadistic torturer, that he tried to kill 2 heads of state (including a US President), shot at US warplanes, that he had corrupted the US funded Oil for food program and bribed the UN, that he funded Hamas & Hezbolah suicide bombers, had several terrorist training camps on his soil, and was a destabilizing influence in an unstable region. We now know he lied about WMD. So, perhaps the next talking points lefty that says Bush is a liar, torturer, and mass murderer will at note that Sadam..did it first.

PS..I must again say that creating a democracy in Iraq was perhaps the best STATED reason to invade (even if it was not the most QUOTED reason).


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#1596729 06/22/06 10:16 PM
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Quote:

So, perhaps the next talking points lefty that says Bush is a liar, torturer, and mass murderer will at note that Sadam..did it first.





So it's all good!


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#1596730 06/22/06 10:18 PM
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If they find the WMD, great!! I will not be such a [censored] about Bush being a moron.

As far as your comment about creating a democracy a great reason to invade....that is idiotic.

You cannot force democracy onto people. They have been raised to believe A. and to change their beliefs to B. isn't going to be easy or even possible!! Look at what has happened since the Brits partitioned India. Pakistan has worked out really well...

Iraq is going to be no better than it was under Saddam for some time to come. 10+ years easy.


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#1596731 06/22/06 10:36 PM
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Originally posted by Nixon:





Go away newbie! I joke, I joke. Welcome back!! Forgot your log in I see. Doh!


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#1596732 06/23/06 12:03 AM
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Originally posted by MapOfTaziFoSho:

As far as your comment about creating a democracy a great reason to invade....that is idiotic.

You cannot force democracy onto people. They have been raised to believe A. and to change their beliefs to B. isn't going to be easy or even possible!! Look at what has happened since the Brits partitioned India. Pakistan has worked out really well...





Idiotic? History will tell.
Seemed to work out in Germany..

In Dec, over 70% of Iraqi's seemed interested in democracy enough to risk their lives to vote..and nobody forced them. They ratified a constitution. We gave them an opportunity, nobody made them do anything. That you suggest that because they are raised a certain way and cannot change suggests a subtle racism. Women and African Americans in this country were once not allowed to vote.

Iraq may or may not evolve into a sectarian, free democracy. Same for Afganistan. Even Palestine...look at Hamas(ah the outcry when THEY won)..now forced to negotiate as elected leaders, and the retoric has decreased significantly. But it will take time...no clear outcome this year or next. We will know in a few decades how it all turns out. America took decades to work things out.

One thing is clear....jihaddits are committed to stopping these fledgling democracies. They know, even if you do not that success will send shock waves through the middle east at least as large as the 9/11 shock wave here.

Other options..
We have tried the "look the other way approach" in the 1990s. Jihaddists hit the WTC in 93 and we looked he other way. They hit the Saudi Marine barricks, the African Embassies, The USS Cole. We looked the other way, and Al-Queda grew in power and boldness,

We have also tried "cut and run" in Vietnam, Lebanon, and Somolia..didn't work out..

We tried negotiation without varification with N. Korea under Clinton and later learned they became a nuclear power while we gave them what we wanted.

So, if democratization of select terrorist and tyranical Islamic countries is not the cure for the jihaddist movement..what is?


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#1596733 06/23/06 01:50 AM
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Dr. Nixon: Seemed to work out in Germany? Are we talking about the country which was rather democratic before Hitler rose to the Chancellorship via elections? Are we talking about the country which had a rather Western-valued, Western religion following healthy and educated middle class which held respect for authority? A country which had gotten its religious-sectarian violence out of its system a century or two before?

Wow. So if it worked in Germany, are we supposed to assume it WILL work in Baghdad?

The degree to which that assumption is shaky is the degree by which our Cowboy in Chief compounded the bungling of Rumsfeld by adding naivete. Some might even suggest recklessness.

There have been other administrations previously, plagued by philosophical cleansings yielding loss of expertise yielding stupid decisions by the new administration. Lots of analysts were canned after China turned red, like it was their fault or they let it happen on their watch, etc. Lots of valuable insights regarding Korea and Nam were lost in those housecleanings. Bush and our service people are now paying for Bush celebrating philosophy over competence with his housecleanings. Or did you think Rumsfeld's done a bang up job? And what about Cheney and his cronies knowing more than Colin Powell in Powell's areas of expertise? What a wasted asset Bush made of Powell.

If indeed Iraq was invaded to "spread democracy" like we're military missionaries, thank goodness that means we're NOT like Castro sending Cuban troops to Angola in the old days to be military missionaries of his political model.

You say we tried cut and run in Lebanon and it didn't work out... Lebanon is on the way to having elements of democracy and a substantial middle class. And Nam? Were we supposed to invade the North and put in our own SVN puppet government, as it seemed everyone running the SVN gov't was corrupt and ineffective. You might have a stronger point with Somolia.

I have no magic bullet cure for the jihaddist movement. But if we are going to make do in the meantime by selectively applying our military, my enthusiasm for doing more of the same or staying the course is severely dampened when the track record of the executive branch team applying it stinks. The military did/does its job: it told Bush and Rummy what was needed and then executed the plan/orders Bush and Rummy gave them. Maybe we still need to put more troops into Iraq and Afghanistan than we have there now, although 3 years ago would have been better. But to trust that Bush/Cheney/Rummy team to NOT bungle up further? Excuse me while I hedge my bets.

If Iraq turns into a model secural democracy and a beacon to the Arab middle east over the next 30 years, I'm sure GWB will get his credit. But remember who gets that credit if Iraq turns into the new Iran instead.


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#1596734 06/23/06 01:27 PM
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Powell laid out the administration's rationale for the invasion pretty clearly. Much of what has been written since then have been attempts to expand on Powell's original presentation. Some points have been legitimate, but as for the actual rationale the administration had at the time, it's pretty much all there in Powell's presentation.


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#1596735 06/23/06 07:34 PM
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Originally posted by PDXSVT:
I have no magic bullet cure for the jihaddist movement.


No new ideas at all frankly. There are always those who know how to point their fingers, complain, and place blame on the people who actually tackle the hard, important problems.

Originally posted by PDXSVT:

If Iraq turns into a model secural democracy and a beacon to the Arab middle east over the next 30 years, I'm sure GWB will get his credit. But remember who gets that credit if Iraq turns into the new Iran instead.


But there's hope for you yet!


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#1596736 06/24/06 04:23 AM
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I've said the same things since day one of this invasion...

1) WMD's will be hidden everywhere in that country. You will need to check the entire desert before you can ever say "there are no WMD's in Iraq".

Hell, they found a whole fighter wing of combat aircraft buried in the desert -- and those were found by accident. (They were also sold to Iraq in the late 90's, but that's for Russia and France to explain another day.)

2) Only history will be able to judge this Presidency. The President has put into place long-term goals, these are not all things that will be solved in his terms, but he got the ball rolling, and got us started.

Anyone remember how popular the "War on Drugs" was? People just thought that was a GREAT idea at the time... How good of an idea do you think it was now? Do you truely believe its helped curtail the drug problem in America?

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#1596737 06/24/06 05:44 PM
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So what's with this recent state department memo from Baghdad?


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